Genoa vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 8 Mar, 17:00
Genoa
21 Full time
Roma
Genoa 2–1 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 26%
Away 49%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 55.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1460 v 1586 Roma rated higher
Form Index LLDWL v LWDWD Genoa 0.8 · Roma 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1586 vs 1460).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaLLDWL0.8 ppg
RomaLWDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1460
Roma1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 32% · 45%
Power Rating32% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning26% · 12% · 62%

AI match preview

Genoa welcome Roma in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 49% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw is slightly more probable than a home win. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1-1 as the most likely scoreline, reflecting a balanced but cautious encounter. With only a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance both teams scoring, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.82 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Genoa 2–1 Roma
Dec 2025 Roma 3–1 Genoa