Lazio vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 9 Mar, 19:45
Lazio
21 Full time
Sassuolo
Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 29%
Away 31%

💡 Lazio have a slight edge — leaning Lazio, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1507 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index WDLDL v WLWWW Lazio 1.0 · Sassuolo 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1473 vs 1507).
  • Sassuolo is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioWDLDL1.0 ppg
SassuoloWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1473
Sassuolo1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 29% · 36%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning37% · 29% · 35%

AI match preview

Lazio hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 40%, though a draw (29%) or away victory (31%) remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a tightly contested match with the most likely scoreline at 1-1. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% probability both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo
Sept 2025 Sassuolo 1–0 Lazio