Pisa vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 15 Mar, 14:00
Pisa
31 Full time
Cagliari
Pisa 3–1 Cagliari

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 29%
Away 38%

💡 Cagliari have a slight edge — leaning Cagliari, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1364 v 1443 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v LLDDL Pisa 0.2 · Cagliari 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Cagliari is the stronger side on Power Rating (1443 vs 1364).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cagliari
Form Index
Cagliari
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Pisa

Green = favours Pisa · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PisaDLLLL0.2 ppg
CagliariLLDDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Pisa1364
Cagliari1443
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 36% · 48%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning31% · 15% · 54%

AI match preview

Pisa hosts Cagliari in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 38%, though a draw remains a close possibility with a 29% chance. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring encounter, with Cagliari projected to net around one goal compared to Pisa's half a goal, and a 0-0 draw is considered the most likely scoreline. With only a 22% probability for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, this match could be a tight, cagey affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.52 – 1.08

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 22%

Under 78%

Both teams to score

Yes 28%

No 72%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Pisa 3–1 Cagliari
Dec 2025 Cagliari 2–2 Pisa