Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 15 Mar, 14:00
Sassuolo
01 Full time
Bologna
Sassuolo 0–1 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 28%
Away 33%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1497 v 1479 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index LWWWL v LWWWL Sassuolo 1.8 · Bologna 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sassuolo v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1497 vs 1479).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLWWWL1.8 ppg
BolognaLWWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1497
Bologna1479
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 25% · 51%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning43% · 34% · 23%

AI match preview

Sassuolo and Bologna face off in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 39% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain realistic outcomes. The model predicts a closely contested match with an expected goals tally favoring Bologna at 1.87 to Sassuolo’s 1.22, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% likelihood both teams score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.87

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Sassuolo 0–1 Bologna
Dec 2025 Bologna 1–1 Sassuolo