Cremonese vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 16 Mar, 19:45
Cremonese
14 Full time
Fiorentina
Cremonese 1–4 Fiorentina

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 29%
Away 42%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1404 v 1437 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v DWWLD Cremonese 0.2 · Fiorentina 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1404 vs 1437).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Cremonese
Home advantage
Cremonese

Green = favours Cremonese · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CremoneseLDLLL0.2 ppg
FiorentinaDWWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Cremonese1404
Fiorentina1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 33% · 31%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning29% · 33% · 38%

AI match preview

Cremonese host Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a 42% chance of victory, slightly edging the home win and draw probabilities, both at 29%. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.13 for Cremonese and 1.02 for Fiorentina, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the away win being the favored outcome. With under 2.5 goals and a less than 50% chance of both teams scoring, this contest could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Cremonese 1–4 Fiorentina
Jan 2026 Fiorentina 1–0 Cremonese