Cagliari vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Fri 20 Mar, 17:30
Cagliari
01 Full time
Napoli
Cagliari 0–1 Napoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (56%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 23%
Away 56%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1426 v 1597 Napoli rated higher
Form Index LDDLL v DLWWW Cagliari 0.4 · Napoli 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1597 vs 1426).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLDDLL0.4 ppg
NapoliDLWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1426
Napoli1597
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 31% · 42%
Power Rating29% · 17% · 54%
Machine-learning19% · 7% · 75%

AI match preview

Napoli enters their Serie A clash at Cagliari as favorites with a 56% chance of victory, though the model also suggests a competitive match with a 23% probability of a draw. The expected goals tally is relatively close, at 1.05 for Cagliari and 1.36 for Napoli, hinting at a tight contest potentially ending in a 1-1 draw. With only a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability of both teams scoring, this game could see a balanced battle; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Cagliari 0–1 Napoli
Aug 2025 Napoli 1–0 Cagliari