Atalanta vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 22 Mar, 14:00
Atalanta
10 Full time
Verona
Atalanta 1–0 Verona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 27%
Away 10%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1569 v 1356 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WWLDD v LLLWL Atalanta 1.6 · Verona 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Verona

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1569 vs 1356).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaWWLDD1.6 ppg
VeronaLLLWL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1569
Verona1356
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model71% · 20% · 8%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning24% · 73% · 3%

AI match preview

Atalanta enters this Serie A clash with a strong 63% chance of securing a home win against Verona, backed by a confidence rating of 72/100. The model projects a 2-0 scoreline with Atalanta expected to net around 2.10 goals while limiting Verona to just 0.60. With just over a 50% probability for more than 2.5 goals and a 41% chance for both teams to score, this match leans toward a low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.10 – 0.60

Most likely score

2-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Atalanta 1–0 Verona
Dec 2025 Verona 3–1 Atalanta