Bologna vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 22 Mar, 14:00
Bologna
02 Full time
Lazio
Bologna 0–2 Lazio

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 29%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1497 Lazio rated higher
Form Index WWWLW v LDLWW Bologna 2.4 · Lazio 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1493 vs 1497).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWWWLW2.4 ppg
LazioLDLWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1493
Lazio1497
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 42% · 28%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 32%
Machine-learning56% · 20% · 24%

AI match preview

Bologna and Lazio are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Bologna at 43% to claim victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. Expected goals are closely matched at 0.71 for Bologna and 0.67 for Lazio, suggesting a low-scoring encounter with 0-0 as the most probable scoreline. With only a 16% chance of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a cautious game; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.71 – 0.67

Most likely score

0-0

27% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 16%

Under 84%

Both teams to score

Yes 26%

No 74%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Bologna 0–2 Lazio
Dec 2025 Lazio 1–1 Bologna