Roma vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 22 Mar, 17:00
Roma
10 Full time
Lecce
Roma 1–0 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 28%
Away 12%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1565 v 1423 Roma rated higher
Form Index DWDLL v WLLWL Roma 1.0 · Lecce 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1565 vs 1423).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaDWDLL1.0 ppg
LecceWLLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1565
Lecce1423
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 26% · 10%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning32% · 64% · 5%

AI match preview

Roma enter their Serie A clash with Lecce as clear favorites, holding a 59% probability of securing a home win, supported by a confidence rating of 68/100. The model projects a tight encounter with an expected scoreline of 1-0, reflecting Roma's advantage in expected goals (1.65 to 0.50). With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (36%) and both teams scoring (33%), this match may lean towards a cautious contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.50

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Roma 1–0 Lecce
Jan 2026 Lecce 0–2 Roma