Inter vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 5 Apr, 20:45
Inter
52 Full time
Roma
Inter 5–2 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 27%
Away 16%

💡 Inter are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1673 v 1570 Inter rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Inter is the stronger side on Power Rating (1673 vs 1570).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Inter
Form Index
Inter
Goal expectation
Inter
Home advantage
Inter

Green = favours Inter · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
InterWWLDD1.6 ppg
RomaWDLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Inter1673
Roma1570
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 25% · 17%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning41% · 53% · 6%

AI match preview

Inter are favored to edge Roma at home with a 57% chance of victory, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.83 to 0.90. Despite this, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a moderate probability for both teams to score (51%) and for the game to exceed 2.5 goals (52%). These projections highlight potential balance and uncertainty—remember, these are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.90

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

San Siro Milan, Italy Capacity 75,923 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Inter 5–2 Roma
Oct 2025 Roma 0–1 Inter