Roma vs Pisa Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Fri 10 Apr, 20:45
Roma
30 Full time
Pisa
Roma 3–0 Pisa

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 27%
Away 10%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1560 v 1364 Roma rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1364).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Pisa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaDLLWL0.8 ppg
PisaLLWLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1560
Pisa1364
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 16% · 6%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning20% · 77% · 3%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash against Pisa as clear favorites, with a 63% probability of securing a home win based on model projections. The expected goals suggest a strong attacking performance from Roma, likely resulting in a 2-0 victory, while the chance of both teams scoring stands at a moderate 45%. Over 2.5 goals appears probable at 62%, but as always, these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.57 – 0.65

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Roma 3–0 Pisa
Aug 2025 Pisa 0–1 Roma