Cagliari vs Cremonese Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sat 11 Apr, 15:00
Cagliari
10 Full time
Cremonese
Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 30%
Away 25%

💡 Cagliari are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1411 v 1394 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1411 vs 1394).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cagliari
Form Index
Cremonese
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Cremonese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariDLLLL0.2 ppg
CremoneseLLLWL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1411
Cremonese1394
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 33% · 26%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning44% · 36% · 20%

AI match preview

Cagliari hosts Cremonese in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight advantage with a 45% chance of victory, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 30%. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.20 for Cagliari and 0.90 for Cremonese, making a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring less than half the time, this matchup could be a closely fought encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.90

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese
Jan 2026 Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari