Genoa vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 12:30
Genoa
21 Full time
Sassuolo
Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Genoa have a slight edge — leaning Genoa, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1496 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1459 vs 1496).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaLWWLL1.2 ppg
SassuoloWLLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1459
Sassuolo1496
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 30% · 40%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning43% · 22% · 36%

AI match preview

Genoa hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model projects a closely contested encounter with an expected goals tally favoring Sassuolo marginally (1.40 to 1.18), and a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With a 54% likelihood of both teams scoring and just under half the chances for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo
Nov 2025 Sassuolo 1–2 Genoa