Parma vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 15:00
Parma
11 Full time
Napoli
Parma 1–1 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (61%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 22%
Away 61%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1615 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 3 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1615 vs 1434).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Parma

Green = favours Parma · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ParmaDDLLD0.6 ppg
NapoliWWWWW3 ppg
Power Rating
Parma1434
Napoli1615
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 29% · 56%
Power Rating28% · 17% · 55%
Machine-learning15% · 8% · 77%

AI match preview

Napoli enter their Serie A clash at Parma as clear favorites, with a 61% probability of an away win and a confidence rating of 72/100, reflecting their stronger overall model metrics. The expected goals suggest a tight game, with Napoli projected to edge it 1-0, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring remains relatively low at 38% and 41%, respectively. These projections are based on statistical analysis and should be considered as probabilities rather than certainties; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.70 – 1.53

Most likely score

0-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Parma 1–1 Napoli
Jan 2026 Napoli 0–0 Parma