Bologna vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 18:00
Bologna
20 Full time
Lecce
Bologna 2–0 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 27%
Away 20%

💡 Bologna are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1403 Bologna rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Lecce

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1485 vs 1403).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWLWLW1.8 ppg
LecceLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1485
Lecce1403
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 35% · 25%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning62% · 30% · 8%

AI match preview

Bologna holds a 53% chance to secure victory against Lecce in this Serie A clash, with the model favoring a home win but also accounting for a 27% draw probability. Expected goals suggest a tight encounter, with 1.06 for Bologna and 0.78 for Lecce, while the most likely score remains 0-0 despite the home advantage. With only a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, this match could lean toward a low-scoring affair; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 0.78

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Bologna 2–0 Lecce
Sept 2025 Lecce 2–2 Bologna