Fiorentina vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 13 Apr, 20:45
Fiorentina
10 Full time
Lazio
Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 30%
Away 32%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1511 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1473 vs 1511).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLDWDW1.6 ppg
LazioLWWWD2 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1473
Lazio1511
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 38% · 32%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning39% · 27% · 35%

AI match preview

Fiorentina and Lazio are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 30% and 32%, respectively. Both teams are projected to produce a low-scoring game, with expected goals hovering around 0.8 per side and a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline. With just a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% probability of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on tight defensive play—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.81 – 0.85

Most likely score

0-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 23%

Under 77%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio
Jan 2026 Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina