Pisa vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 19 Apr, 18:00
Pisa
12 Full time
Genoa
Pisa 1–2 Genoa

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 28%
Away 44%

💡 Genoa have a slight edge — leaning Genoa, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1357 v 1469 Genoa rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Pisa v Genoa

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1469 vs 1357).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Pisa

Green = favours Pisa · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PisaLWLLL0.6 ppg
GenoaWWLLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Pisa1357
Genoa1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 34% · 47%
Power Rating33% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning24% · 14% · 63%

AI match preview

Pisa hosts Genoa in this Serie A clash, with the model giving Genoa a 44% chance to take the win, while a draw or home victory remain plausible at 28% and 29%. Expected goals favor the visitors slightly (1.18 to 0.66), yet the most likely scoreline is a 0-0 stalemate, reflecting a tight contest. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (28%) and both teams scoring (35%), this match could be a cautious affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.66 – 1.18

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Pisa 1–2 Genoa
Jan 2026 Genoa 1–1 Pisa