Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 20 Apr, 20:45
Lecce
11 Full time
Fiorentina
Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 27%
Away 45%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1393 v 1483 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1483 vs 1393).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceWLLLL0.6 ppg
FiorentinaDWDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1393
Fiorentina1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 32% · 43%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning27% · 19% · 54%

AI match preview

Lecce host Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 45% chance of victory, compared to a 28% probability for the home side and a 27% likelihood of a draw. The model projects a tightly contested match with an expected goals tally favoring Fiorentina slightly at 1.26 to 0.89, and a most probable scoreline of 1-1. With only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% probability for both teams to score, this encounter could be a balanced affair; remember these projections are statistical estimates and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina
Nov 2025 Fiorentina 0–1 Lecce