Napoli vs Cremonese Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Fri 24 Apr, 20:45
Napoli
40 Full time
Cremonese
Napoli 4–0 Cremonese

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 27%
Away 10%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1587 v 1386 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Napoli v Cremonese

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1587 vs 1386).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Cremonese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliWWWDL2 ppg
CremoneseLWLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1587
Cremonese1386
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 26% · 14%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning29% · 68% · 3%

AI match preview

Napoli enter this Serie A clash with a 63% probability of securing a home win against Cremonese, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.70 to 0.70 in their favor. The model suggests a tight encounter, with 1-0 as the most likely scoreline and a moderate 43% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. These projections highlight Napoli's edge but also the potential for a closely contested match—remember, these are statistical probabilities and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.70 – 0.70

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass
Clear · 16.8°C
Feels like 15°C Wind 7 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Napoli 4–0 Cremonese
Dec 2025 Cremonese 0–2 Napoli