Bologna vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sat 25 Apr, 18:00
Bologna
02 Full time
Roma
Bologna 0–2 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 26%
Away 43%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1486 v 1565 Roma rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1565 vs 1486).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWLWWL1.8 ppg
RomaLWLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1486
Roma1565
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 33% · 39%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning36% · 12% · 52%

AI match preview

Bologna host Roma in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 43% chance of winning, though the model also suggests a draw is plausible at 26%. Expected goals are close, with 0.97 for Bologna and 1.17 for Roma, indicating a tight contest likely to produce a 1-1 scoreline. With only a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance both teams score, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass
Mainly clear · 24.2°C
Feels like 21.9°C Wind 11 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Bologna 0–2 Roma
Aug 2025 Roma 1–0 Bologna