Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 12:30
Fiorentina
00 Full time
Sassuolo
Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 26%
Away 31%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1498 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1482 vs 1498).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWDWWD2.2 ppg
SassuoloLDWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1482
Sassuolo1498
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 30% · 37%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning41% · 20% · 39%

AI match preview

Fiorentina and Sassuolo are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 43% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 26% and 31% respectively. Both teams are projected to score around 1.3 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline, supported by a 55% chance of both teams finding the net. With just under a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, fans should expect a balanced match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo
Dec 2025 Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina