Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 27 Apr, 18:30
Cagliari
32 Full time
Atalanta
Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 22%
Away 55%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1415 v 1577 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Cagliari v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1577 vs 1415).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLLLWL0.6 ppg
AtalantaDWWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1415
Atalanta1577
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 33% · 43%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning20% · 7% · 73%

AI match preview

Cagliari host Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 55% chance of winning, according to model projections, with a confidence rating of 64/100. Despite Atalanta's edge, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting closely matched expected goals of 0.85 for Cagliari and 1.23 for Atalanta. With only a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring, this game could be a tight contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.85 – 1.23

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta
Dec 2025 Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari