Lazio vs Udinese Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 27 Apr, 20:45
Lazio
33 Full time
Udinese
Lazio 3–3 Udinese

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 28%
Away 29%

💡 Lazio have a slight edge — leaning Lazio, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1525 v 1501 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Udinese

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1525 vs 1501).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Udinese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioWWDLW2 ppg
UdineseLWDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1525
Udinese1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 28% · 32%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning42% · 29% · 30%

AI match preview

Lazio host Udinese in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score, with a 59% probability for BTTS and a closely matched expected goals tally of 1.50 for Lazio and 1.33 for Udinese, suggesting a competitive encounter likely to see goals. While the model favors a home win at 47% confidence, the most probable scoreline is 1-1, reflecting the balanced nature of this fixture; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.33

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Lazio 3–3 Udinese
Dec 2025 Udinese 1–1 Lazio