Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sat 2 May, 20:45
Atalanta
00 Full time
Genoa
Atalanta 0–0 Genoa

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 26%
Away 17%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1563 v 1464 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Genoa

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1563 vs 1464).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaWWLDL1.4 ppg
GenoaLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1563
Genoa1464
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 28% · 19%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning36% · 53% · 12%

AI match preview

Atalanta enters this Serie A clash with a 57% chance of securing a home win against Genoa, who have a 17% chance to upset the hosts, while a draw stands at 26%. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.64 for Atalanta and 0.91 for Genoa, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1, reflecting a competitive encounter. With a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass
Mainly clear · 16.1°C
Feels like 14°C Wind 5 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Atalanta 0–0 Genoa
Dec 2025 Genoa 0–1 Atalanta