Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 12:30
Bologna
00 Full time
Cagliari
Bologna 0–0 Cagliari

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 29%
Away 26%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1470 v 1429 Bologna rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Cagliari

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1470 vs 1429).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaLWWLL1.2 ppg
CagliariLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1470
Cagliari1429
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 32% · 28%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning47% · 37% · 16%

AI match preview

Bologna host Cagliari in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The model anticipates a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.27 for Bologna and 1.00 for Cagliari, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring just under 50% probability, this match could be a closely fought encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass
Overcast · 24.8°C
Feels like 24.4°C Wind 6 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Bologna 0–0 Cagliari
Oct 2025 Cagliari 0–2 Bologna