Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 15:00
Fiorentina
00 Full time
Genoa
Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 28%
Away 29%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1469 v 1469 Evenly matched
Form Index 1.6 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1469 vs 1469).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWWDDL1.6 ppg
GenoaLWWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1469
Genoa1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 31% · 32%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning37% · 29% · 34%

AI match preview

Fiorentina holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory against Genoa, who are not far behind at 29%, while a draw stands at 28%, indicating a closely contested Serie A fixture. The expected goals are nearly even—1.29 for Fiorentina and 1.17 for Genoa—suggesting a tight match that could well end in the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 52% probability of both teams scoring and a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa
Nov 2025 Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina