Napoli vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 11 May, 20:45
Napoli
23 Full time
Bologna
Napoli 2–3 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 29%
Away 17%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1597 v 1467 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1597 vs 1467).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliWDLWD1.6 ppg
BolognaWWLLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1597
Bologna1467
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 27% · 26%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning28% · 65% · 8%

AI match preview

Napoli hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a 54% chance of victory, though a draw remains a solid possibility at 29%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Napoli slightly ahead at 1.64 to Bologna’s 1.20, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1. With over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%, this match could see competitive attacking play; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.20

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass
Partly cloudy · 18.4°C
Feels like 19.1°C Wind 13 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Napoli 2–3 Bologna
Nov 2025 Bologna 2–0 Napoli