Genoa vs Milan Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 12:00
Genoa
12 Full time
Milan
Genoa 1–2 Milan

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 23%
Away 53%

💡 Milan are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1471 v 1564 Milan rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Milan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1564 vs 1471).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Milan
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Milan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaWWLDD1.6 ppg
MilanLWDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1471
Milan1564
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 28% · 57%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 41%
Machine-learning35% · 9% · 56%

AI match preview

Genoa host Milan in this Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 53% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a confidence level of 61 out of 100. Expected goals favor Milan at 1.62 compared to Genoa's 0.74, suggesting a tight affair most likely ending 1-0. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not consistently scoring, fans should anticipate a cautious match; remember, these are statistical probabilities and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.74 – 1.62

Most likely score

0-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Genoa 1–2 Milan
Jan 2026 Milan 1–1 Genoa