Juventus vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 12:00
Juventus
02 Full time
Fiorentina
Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 24%
Away 12%

💡 Juventus are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1620 v 1467 Juventus rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Juventus v Fiorentina

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Juventus is the stronger side on Power Rating (1620 vs 1467).
  • Juventus is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Juventus
Form Index
Juventus
Goal expectation
Juventus
Home advantage
Juventus

Green = favours Juventus · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
JuventusWWDDW2.2 ppg
FiorentinaWDDLD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Juventus1620
Fiorentina1467
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model71% · 20% · 10%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning31% · 62% · 7%

AI match preview

Juventus enter this Serie A clash with a strong 64% chance of victory, backed by a high confidence rating of 76/100, as they look to capitalize on their home advantage against Fiorentina. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.25 for Juventus compared to 0.75 for Fiorentina, with a 2-0 scoreline being the most probable outcome. While the over 2.5 goals probability sits at 58%, goal-scoring from both sides is less certain at 48%, so fans should consider these statistical projections carefully and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.25 – 0.75

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Allianz Stadium Turin, Italy Capacity 41,507 · grass
Overcast · 19.3°C
Feels like 17.9°C Wind 6 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina
Nov 2025 Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus