Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 18:00
Atalanta
01 Full time
Bologna
Atalanta 0–1 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 28%
Away 22%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1571 v 1483 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 1 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1571 vs 1483).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLDLDW1 ppg
BolognaWLLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1571
Bologna1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 30% · 29%
Power Rating61% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning32% · 57% · 11%

AI match preview

Atalanta holds a 50% chance of securing a home win against Bologna in this Serie A clash, with a moderate confidence level of 56/100. The model projects a closely contested match, with an expected goals tally of 1.37 for Atalanta and 1.13 for Bologna, suggesting a likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass
Clear · 20°C
Feels like 16.9°C Wind 7 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Atalanta 0–1 Bologna
Jan 2026 Bologna 0–2 Atalanta