Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 20:45
Sassuolo
23 Full time
Lecce
Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 30%
Away 26%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1507 v 1399 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sassuolo v Lecce

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Sassuolo is the stronger side on Power Rating (1507 vs 1399).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLWDWL1.4 ppg
LecceLDDWL1 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1507
Lecce1399
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 21%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning40% · 53% · 7%

AI match preview

Sassuolo holds a 44% chance of securing a home victory against Lecce, with the model suggesting a fairly balanced contest given the 30% draw probability. Expected goals favor Sassuolo slightly at 1.33 to 0.81, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the tight nature of the matchup. With only a 36% probability for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, this game could hinge on a single moment; these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.33 – 0.81

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce
Oct 2025 Lecce 0–0 Sassuolo