Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Fri 22 May, 20:45
Fiorentina
11 Full time
Atalanta
Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 26%
Away 44%

💡 Atalanta have a slight edge — leaning Atalanta, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1556 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1556 vs 1493).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaDDLDW1.2 ppg
AtalantaDLDWL1 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1493
Atalanta1556
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 31% · 42%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning27% · 16% · 56%

AI match preview

Fiorentina host Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the model favors an away win with a 44% probability, though the home side still holds a 31% chance to claim victory. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.01 for Fiorentina and 1.32 for Atalanta, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With under 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just under 50%, this match could hinge on fine margins — remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta
Nov 2025 Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina