Parma vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 24 May, 15:00
Parma
10 Full time
Sassuolo
Parma 1–0 Sassuolo

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 26%
Away 43%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1441 v 1491 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sassuolo is the stronger side on Power Rating (1491 vs 1441).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Parma

Green = favours Parma · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ParmaWWLLL1.2 ppg
SassuoloWDWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Parma1441
Sassuolo1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 31% · 47%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning31% · 18% · 51%

AI match preview

Parma hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 43% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw is also a plausible outcome at 26%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with a 1-1 scoreline most likely, reflecting balanced attacking potential from both sides. With only a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 46%, this matchup could see a closely fought battle; remember these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Parma 1–0 Sassuolo
Jan 2026 Sassuolo 1–1 Parma