Lecce vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 24 May, 20:45
Lecce
10 Full time
Genoa
Lecce 1–0 Genoa

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Lecce have a slight edge — leaning Lecce, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1415 v 1461 Genoa rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Genoa

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1461 vs 1415).
  • Lecce is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceDDWLW1.6 ppg
GenoaWLDDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1415
Genoa1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 33% · 45%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning35% · 15% · 50%

AI match preview

Lecce hosts Genoa in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 41%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with a 0-0 result being the most likely scoreline despite Genoa edging the expected goals tally at 1.22 to 0.78. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring only 40% likely, fans should anticipate a tight contest; remember these projections are statistical estimates and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 1.22

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Lecce 1–0 Genoa
Aug 2025 Genoa 0–0 Lecce