Utrecht vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Wed 25 Jan, 20:00
Utrecht
10 Full time
Excelsior
Utrecht 1–0 Excelsior

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 20%
Away 16%

💡 Utrecht are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1524 v 1446 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Excelsior

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1524 vs 1446).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtWWDDL1.6 ppg
ExcelsiorLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1524
Excelsior1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 24% · 13%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning60% · 27% · 13%

AI match preview

Utrecht enters this Eredivisie clash with a strong 64% chance of securing a home win against Excelsior, backed by a confidence level of 76/100. The model projects a 2-0 scoreline, reflecting Utrecht’s expected dominance in creating nearly twice as many goals (1.88) as their opponents (0.75). While the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring sits just below 50%, these statistical insights provide a snapshot of the game’s potential flow—always remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.88 – 0.75

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Utrecht 1–0 Excelsior
Oct 2022 Excelsior 0–1 Utrecht