Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 28 Jan, 19:00
Nijmegen
11 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Nijmegen 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Nijmegen have a slight edge — leaning Nijmegen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1511 v 1562 Sparta Rotterdam rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nijmegen v Sparta Rotterdam

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Why we predict this

  • Sparta Rotterdam is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1511).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Index
Sparta Rotterdam
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenWDDWL1.6 ppg
Sparta RotterdamDDWWD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1511
Sparta Rotterdam1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 30% · 35%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning37% · 30% · 33%

AI match preview

Nijmegen and Sparta Rotterdam face off in what promises to be a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% probability for a win. Both teams are projected to score around 1.3 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome, and there’s a 54% chance both sides will find the net. Over 2.5 goals stands just under 50%, indicating a balanced expectation for scoring; as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Nijmegen 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Oct 2022 Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Nijmegen