Volendam vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 29 Jan, 13:30
Volendam
32 Full time
Groningen
Volendam 3–2 Groningen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 27%
Away 31%

💡 Volendam have a slight edge — leaning Volendam, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1406 v 1395 Volendam rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1406 vs 1395).
  • Volendam is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Volendam
Form Index
Volendam
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Volendam

Green = favours Volendam · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VolendamLWWLD1.4 ppg
GroningenLLLLL0.0 ppg
Power Rating
Volendam1406
Groningen1395
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 28% · 36%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning42% · 32% · 26%

AI match preview

Volendam and Groningen are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Volendam at 42% probability for a home win, while a draw and away victory remain realistic outcomes. Both sides are expected to produce tight attacking output, with nearly identical expected goals of 1.46 and 1.44 respectively, pointing to a likely 1-1 scoreline. The match also has a 60% chance of both teams scoring and a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.44

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Volendam 3–2 Groningen
Aug 2022 Groningen 2–2 Volendam