Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 17:45
Volendam
11 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Volendam 1–1 AZ Alkmaar

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (64%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 19%
Away 64%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1414 v 1597 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Volendam v AZ Alkmaar

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1597 vs 1414).
  • Away side projects to create more (3.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
Volendam

Green = favours Volendam · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VolendamWWLDW2.0 ppg
AZ AlkmaarDWWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Volendam1414
AZ Alkmaar1597
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model7% · 12% · 82%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 55%
Machine-learning14% · 27% · 60%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar are strong favorites to claim victory at Volendam, with the model giving them a 64% chance and a confidence rating of 77/100. The expected goals heavily favor the visitors at 3.38 compared to Volendam’s 0.99, suggesting a likely high-scoring game with a predicted 0-3 scoreline. With an 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open match, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 3.38

Most likely score

0-3

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 81%

Under 19%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Volendam 1–1 AZ Alkmaar
Oct 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Volendam