Utrecht vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 19:00
Utrecht
10 Full time
Heerenveen
Utrecht 1–0 Heerenveen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 26%
Away 23%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1535 v 1482 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Heerenveen

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1535 vs 1482).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtDDLWD1.2 ppg
HeerenveenDLWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1535
Heerenveen1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 39% · 28%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning41% · 30% · 29%

AI match preview

Utrecht holds a slight edge over Heerenveen with a 51% chance of victory in this Eredivisie clash, supported by closely matched expected goals of 0.81 to 0.74. Despite the home win probability, the model suggests a low-scoring game, with 0-0 as the most likely result and only a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams finding the net is projected at 31%, indicating a cautious encounter—these projections are based on statistical analysis, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.81 – 0.74

Most likely score

0-0

23% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 20%

Under 80%

Both teams to score

Yes 31%

No 69%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Utrecht 1–0 Heerenveen
Oct 2022 Heerenveen 1–2 Utrecht