Excelsior vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 20:00
Excelsior
00 Full time
Waalwijk
Excelsior 0–0 Waalwijk

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (37%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 27%
Away 37%

💡 Waalwijk have a slight edge — leaning Waalwijk, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1504 Waalwijk rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Waalwijk

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Why we predict this

  • Waalwijk is the stronger side on Power Rating (1504 vs 1425).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Waalwijk
Form Index
Waalwijk
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorWLWLL1.2 ppg
WaalwijkDLDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1425
Waalwijk1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 28% · 27%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning35% · 28% · 37%

AI match preview

Excelsior and Waalwijk are poised for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving both sides a 37% chance to win and a 27% probability of a draw. The expected goals suggest a slightly higher output from Excelsior (1.57) compared to Waalwijk (1.19), yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Excelsior 0–0 Waalwijk
Sept 2022 Waalwijk 5–2 Excelsior