Ajax vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 12 Feb, 15:45
Ajax
31 Full time
Waalwijk
Ajax 3–1 Waalwijk

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (77%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 77%
Draw 14%
Away 9%

💡 Ajax are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 94.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 94.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1613 v 1503 Ajax rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajax v Waalwijk

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1613 vs 1503).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Ajax

Green = favours Ajax · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaxDDDWW1.8 ppg
WaalwijkLDWWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ajax1613
Waalwijk1503
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model80% · 14% · 6%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning68% · 24% · 8%

AI match preview

Ajax enters this Eredivisie clash as strong favorites with a 77% probability of securing a home win, bolstered by a high confidence rating of 94/100. The model projects Ajax to score an average of 2.76 goals against Waalwijk's 0.69, making a 2-0 victory the most likely outcome. With a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% probability of both teams scoring, this match promises attacking action—remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.76 – 0.69

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Johan Cruijff ArenA Amsterdam, Netherlands Capacity 55,865 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Ajax 3–1 Waalwijk
Oct 2022 Waalwijk 1–4 Ajax