Groningen vs FC Emmen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 18 Feb, 17:45
Groningen
11 Full time
FC Emmen
Groningen 1–1 FC Emmen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Groningen have a slight edge — leaning Groningen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1381 v 1403 FC Emmen rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Groningen v FC Emmen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1381 vs 1403).
  • FC Emmen is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
FC Emmen
Form Index
FC Emmen
Goal expectation
Groningen
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours FC Emmen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenLLLDL0.2 ppg
FC EmmenLWLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1381
FC Emmen1403
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 25% · 20%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning42% · 28% · 31%

AI match preview

Groningen holds a slight edge with a 42% chance of securing a home win against FC Emmen, who are backed at 30%, while a draw stands at 28%. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally favoring Groningen 1.86 to 1.08, and a most likely scoreline of 1-1, suggesting both sides could find the net in a closely fought match. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also moderately probable at 56% and 57% respectively; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Groningen 1–1 FC Emmen
Oct 2022 FC Emmen 0–0 Groningen