Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 18 Feb, 20:00
Feyenoord
21 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord 2–1 AZ Alkmaar

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Feyenoord are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1637 v 1602 Feyenoord rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1637 vs 1602).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Feyenoord
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
Feyenoord
Home advantage
Feyenoord

Green = favours Feyenoord · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FeyenoordDWDDW1.8 ppg
AZ AlkmaarWWDDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Feyenoord1637
AZ Alkmaar1602
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 31% · 26%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning48% · 29% · 24%

AI match preview

Feyenoord hosts AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model gives the home side a 50% chance of winning, with a draw or away victory both at 25%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Feyenoord slightly ahead at 1.38 to AZ's 1.00, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With under 2.5 goals favored at 57% and both teams scoring seen as roughly a 49% probability, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

De Kuip Rotterdam, Netherlands Capacity 47,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Feyenoord 2–1 AZ Alkmaar
Oct 2022 AZ Alkmaar 1–3 Feyenoord