Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 19 Feb, 13:30
Utrecht
22 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht 2–2 PSV Eindhoven

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 27%
Away 43%

💡 PSV Eindhoven have a slight edge — leaning PSV Eindhoven, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1525 v 1586 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1586 vs 1525).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtLWDWL1.4 ppg
PSV EindhovenWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1525
PSV Eindhoven1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 31% · 35%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning31% · 26% · 43%

AI match preview

Utrecht hosts PSV Eindhoven in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 43%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 27% chance. Both teams are projected to score around 1.2 goals each, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline, while the probability for both teams to score stands at 52%. With just a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals, this contest may be tightly contested—these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Utrecht 2–2 PSV Eindhoven
Oct 2022 PSV Eindhoven 6–1 Utrecht