Excelsior vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 19 Feb, 19:00
Excelsior
03 Full time
Nijmegen
Excelsior 0–3 Nijmegen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 29%
Away 41%

💡 Nijmegen have a slight edge — leaning Nijmegen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1416 v 1494 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Nijmegen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1494 vs 1416).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorWLLDL0.8 ppg
NijmegenWLDLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1416
Nijmegen1494
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 37% · 30%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning29% · 27% · 44%

AI match preview

Excelsior and Nijmegen face off in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win for Nijmegen at 41%, though a draw or home victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score under one goal each, with a 0-0 draw being the most likely scoreline, reflecting a tight, low-scoring encounter. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (26%) and both teams to score (36%), expect a cautious game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.90 – 0.85

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Excelsior 0–3 Nijmegen
Oct 2022 Nijmegen 1–1 Excelsior