Groningen vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 25 Feb, 15:30
Groningen
30 Full time
Excelsior
Groningen 3–0 Excelsior

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 24%
Away 22%

💡 Groningen are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1380 v 1397 Excelsior rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Groningen v Excelsior

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1380 vs 1397).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Excelsior
Form Index
Groningen
Goal expectation
Groningen
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenLLDLD0.4 ppg
ExcelsiorLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1380
Excelsior1397
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 22% · 18%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning52% · 30% · 18%

AI match preview

Groningen host Excelsior in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a 54% chance of victory, with a 24% probability of a draw and 22% for an away win. The model projects 2.22 expected goals for Groningen and 1.16 for Excelsior, highlighting a competitive game with a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.22 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Groningen 3–0 Excelsior
Jan 2023 Excelsior 1–0 Groningen