Heerenveen vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 25 Feb, 17:45
Heerenveen
14 Full time
Waalwijk
Heerenveen 1–4 Waalwijk

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 27%
Away 28%

💡 Heerenveen are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1507 Waalwijk rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heerenveen v Waalwijk

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1476 vs 1507).
  • Waalwijk is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Waalwijk
Form Index
Waalwijk
Goal expectation
Heerenveen
Home advantage
Heerenveen

Green = favours Heerenveen · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeerenveenLLLLW0.6 ppg
WaalwijkWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Heerenveen1476
Waalwijk1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 32% · 24%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning44% · 28% · 29%

AI match preview

Heerenveen and Waalwijk are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with a slight edge to the home side at 45% probability to win, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals tally favors Heerenveen marginally at 1.30 to 0.91, suggesting a competitive match likely to produce around two goals, with a 45% chance both teams will score. Fans should anticipate a tight game, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Heerenveen 1–4 Waalwijk
Jan 2023 Waalwijk 0–0 Heerenveen