AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 25 Feb, 19:00
AZ Alkmaar
21 Full time
Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Cambuur

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 18%
Away 11%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 85.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 85.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1594 v 1367 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Cambuur

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1594 vs 1367).
  • AZ Alkmaar is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Cambuur. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarWDDWL1.6 ppg
CambuurWLLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1594
Cambuur1367
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 26% · 17%
Power Rating74% · 12% · 14%
Machine-learning61% · 25% · 14%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar enter this Eredivisie clash strongly favored with a 70% chance of a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.79 to 0.88 over Cambuur. Despite the home side's edge, the model intriguingly points to a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline, reflecting a competitive encounter. With both teams having a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals and both to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Cambuur
Aug 2022 Cambuur 0–1 AZ Alkmaar