Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Fri 3 Mar, 19:00
Vitesse
01 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse 0–1 AZ Alkmaar

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 25%
Away 49%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1462 v 1598 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vitesse v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1598 vs 1462).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
Vitesse

Green = favours Vitesse · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VitesseWDWLL1.4 ppg
AZ AlkmaarDDWLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vitesse1462
AZ Alkmaar1598
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 16% · 74%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 48%
Machine-learning20% · 29% · 51%

AI match preview

Vitesse hosts AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win with a 49% probability, reflecting AZ’s stronger expected attack. The predicted scoreline of 0-2 aligns with AZ’s higher expected goals tally of 2.72 compared to Vitesse’s 0.92, suggesting a potential for multiple goals. With a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match could offer exciting offensive action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.92 – 2.72

Most likely score

0-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Vitesse 0–1 AZ Alkmaar
Jan 2023 AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Vitesse