Nijmegen vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 12 Mar, 11:15
Nijmegen
22 Full time
Utrecht
Nijmegen 2–2 Utrecht

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 26%
Away 31%

💡 Nijmegen have a slight edge — leaning Nijmegen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1518 v 1534 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1518 vs 1534).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenLDWWL1.4 ppg
UtrechtWLDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1518
Utrecht1534
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 23% · 28%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning49% · 30% · 21%

AI match preview

Nijmegen and Utrecht are set for a competitive Eredivisie clash, with the model giving the home side a 42% chance to edge out a win, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 26%. The expected goals suggest an open game, with 2.15 for Nijmegen and 1.61 for Utrecht, and a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline. High probabilities for over 2.5 goals (73%) and both teams to score (72%) indicate an attacking match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.61

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 72%

No 28%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Nijmegen 2–2 Utrecht
Sept 2022 Utrecht 0–0 Nijmegen